有人感兴趣预测一下全美的Senior组吗?FSU上有位强人,把25名参赛选手这个赛季的成绩按各种方法(最好成绩/最坏成绩/平均/甚至linear trend )排了N遍,最后总有人抗议因为不同比赛评分标准不同嘛,所以那人懒得再算了,就把所有人本赛季的成绩,不论哪场比赛,统统求个mean来排名,得到这个:
至于括号里的两种名次是这样的假设排出来的:
1,取这名选手的Season's Best,其他所有人的Season's Worst
2,反之;
Rk / Skater / Total /Rk
1. Rachael Flatt 160.90 (1st-6th)
2. Ashley Wagner 158.35 (1st-7th)
3. Alissa Czisny 158.00 (1st-10th)
4. Caroline Zhang 153.67 (1st-8th)
5. Joelle Forte 149.21 (1st-12th)
6. Alexe Gilles 141.44 (3rd-19th)
7. Becky Bereswill 141.14 (1st-22nd )
8. Angela Maxwell 140.46 (2nd-22nd)
9. Beatrisa Liang 138.21 (6th-19th)
10. Blake Rosenthal 137.23 (6th-20th)
11. Katrina Hacker 137.21 (6th-20th)
12. Taylor Firth 135.85 (5th-23rd)
13. Kristine Musademba 135.38 (4th-23rd)
14. Laney Diggs 134.94 (4th-23rd)
15. Kimmie Meissner 133.64 (6th-22nd)
16. Mirai Nagasu 133.56 (6th-23rd)
17. Karen Zhou 133.56 (6th-23rd)
18. Brittney Rizo 131.04 (5th-24th)
19. Chrissy Hughes 123.31 (6th-25th)
20. Emily Hughes 123.11 (10th-25th)
21. Tenile Victorsen 122.70 (8th-25th)
22. Tatyana Khazova 120.96 (10th-25th)
23. Molly Oberstar 119.77 (13th-25th)
24. Melissa Telecky 113.20 (18th-25th)
25. Brittney Westdorp 110.44 (19th-25th)
我真佩服此达人的耐心;不过我觉得,比赛总是无法预测的, you never know,是吧?
我不算,凭直觉瞎猜的预测:
1,Rachael Flatt
2,Caroline Zhang
3,Alissa Czisny
4,Ashley Wagner
5,Alexe Gilles
纯属瞎猜~~
有人预测Karen Zhou夺冠…… |